High FDV tokens favored by VCs hold significant unrealized profits, posing sell pressure risks upon unlocking.
In the current market, high FDV (Full Diluted Valuation) and low circulating supply token issuance, which started gaining popularity with the FTX exchange, has become mainstream and is favored by VCs. Despite rapid price increases driven by market fluctuations this year, such gains are clearly unsustainable.
VCs hold substantial unrealized profits with high FDV and low circulation tokens. As these tokens unlock, they flood the market, driving prices down, while market cap remains stable or even increases. The influx of high-valuation tokens outpaces net inflow capital.
According to a Binance Research report, approximately $155 billion worth of tokens is expected to be unlocked from 2024 to 2030. Without corresponding increases in buyer demand and capital flow, a large influx of tokens will cause sell pressure.
Tokens with high FDV and low circulation are labeled as “dangerous” by the market.
Contributors (including teams and early investors) typically receive a proportion of tokens as compensation, locked according to specific vesting schedules. While contributors deserve fair compensation as early developers, it's crucial to balance the interests of all stakeholders, especially post-TGE (Token Generation Event) public market investors.
The circulating ratio at TGE is critical. If too many tokens are locked, it affects liquidity, negatively impacting the token price and all holders. Conversely, inadequate compensation for contributors can diminish their motivation to continue developing, ultimately harming all holders.
Classic parameters for token locking include allocation ratio, lock-up period, unlocking duration, and delivery frequency, all functioning over time.
The higher the unrealized profit rate for VCs, the greater the potential sell pressure in the market. As VCs' tokens unlock, they may be sold, causing price drops.
By collecting financing information, we can identify the top eleven tokens with the highest unrealized profits for VCs:
Monitoring token unlock information can help avoid the risk of price declines when tokens are unlocked.
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The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.
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