Bitcoin Hot Supply Metric Drops 50%, Imminent BTC Price Breakout

Technical market indicators suggest a price breakout for Bitcoin (BTC), the worlds largest digital currency, is imminent. Notably, Bitcoin's “hot supply” metric has more than halved in the last three months, dropping from 5.9% to 2.8%.

Bitcoins potential supply squeeze and market impact

Hot supply refers to BTC that has been moved or transacted in the cryptocurrency space within the last seven days. This could refer to movements between wallets or exchanges.

An update shared by Glassnode reveals that Bitcoins circulating supply, which is actively traded on the crypto market, has fallen by over 50%. This suggests that coin holders are trading fewer Bitcoin units.

#Bitcoin's Hot Supply metric, which tracks coins aged ≤1 week, has contracted from 5.9% to 2.8% of circulating supply - a 50%+ decline over the past 3 months. This signals a sharp reduction in liquid $BTC available for trade:

— glassnode (@glassnode) March 20, 2025

The implication is that traders hold onto their Bitcoin instead of selling it as the BTC price recovers. This development is significant considering the near stagnation that BTC has experienced in the last 14 days. It indicates that traders are betting on a price increase and might have decided to wait out the downturn.

Additionally, a drop in hot supply could mean market liquidity is tightening, making purchasing large amounts of BTC more difficult.

It could also signal a potential supply squeeze. Analysts say if this is the case, it might push prices higher, whether demand remains steady or increases.

Bitcoins Price Action and Market Sentiment

Historically, a decline in hot supply in the crypto space suggests that Bitcoin is being accumulated by stronger hands in the market. These are usually long-term holders who do not sell Bitcoin haphazardly. Therefore, selling pressure might be reduced.

Market observers consider this scenario bullish for Bitcoin. Notably, a shrinking liquid supply means fewer coins available for exchange transactions. This, in turn, could trigger a price increase due to scarcity as demand outstrips supply.

Within the last 24 hours, Bitcoin has rallied to a high of $87,443.27 from $83,440. As of this writing, the coin is trading at $85,256.80, a 2.22% increase. However, trading volume remains bullish at 59.54%, or $37.81 billion.