Fundstrat’s head of research Tom Lee says there are four big signs backing up the idea that the stock market is in the midst of a bullish reversal. In a
Fundstrats head of research Tom Lee says there are four big signs backing up the idea that the stock market is in the midst of a bullish reversal.
In a new video update on Fundstrats YouTube channel, Lee starts off by noting that on April 24th, a Zweig breadth thrust was triggered on the S&P 500 index.
The Zweig breadth thrust is an indicator that attempts to detect the early stages of a potential bull run by dividing the 10-day moving average of the number of advancing stocks by the total number of stocks.
Lee says that the Zweig breadth thrust has nearly always signaled imminent stock market rallies.
Secondly, Lee notes that the high yield options adjusted spreads (OaS) retraced 50% of its widening on April 23rd. A shrinking of credit spreads – the difference in yield between riskier junk bonds and “risk-free” government bonds – typically signals stability and healthy investor risk appetite.
Lee also says that the S&P 500 saw two straight days where 90% of the S&P 500 stocks rallied, an event that has historically led to further upside.
Source: Fundstrat
Lastly, the investor takes note of the volatility index (VIX) – a measure of market volatility based on data from the Chicago Board Options Exchange – closing below the 31 level.
According to Lee, the VIX is now signaling a drop off in future volatility and likely strength for equities.
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