July Could Be a Huge Month for Crypto Market - What to Expect

Historical data shows that cryptocurrencies did catch up with M2 trends eventually, but not tick-for-tick.

Bitcoin and altcoins tracked overall liquidity trends in their respective times, with Ethereum and Cardano both tracking M2 increases after times of divergence in the last cycle.

Existing market trends point to Cardano having higher lows even in the bearish season, and ADA is poised to initiate a higher low trend as the crypto market lays the ground for the second half of 2025.

This is occurring amidst increased global liquidity that earlier maintained crypto prices in the long term.

Risk Models Indicate Altcoin Bull Market Has Not Yet Begun

Gambardello cites Ethereums risk model at 35, which is confirmation that no altcoin bull market has started yet despite persistent consolidation and higher low formations.

The proprietary risk models follow several different data points to determine market positions in the cycle and potential opportunities to exit the crypto markets.

The analyst contrasts the present scenario with previous cycles when risk models reached 90s and 100 levels and prompted users to send email notifications for taking profits.

Such instruments would have provided useful inputs during the last cycles movements and would have notified users when crypto prices reached best-selling areas in top cryptocurrencies.

Current altcoin and Bitcoin positioning suggests strong potential for upside if crypto prices begin to hold pace with global M2 liquidity trends.

The risk model framework suggests early-stage conditions similar to pre-bull market conditions preceding major crypto market rallies in previous cycles.

Exit planning tools allow investors to prepare for various scenarios, from 10x-30x moves to complete market failures.

Risk management strategies balance extreme upside potential against downside protection as crypto prices move through current consolidation phases.

Gambardello stated:

“What happens if ethereum and all coins start catching up with global m2？ I think we see a bull market.”