Is a Breakout to $5 Next?

TON/USD Daily Chart- TradingView

Toncoin price is trading around $3.66 with a strong +4.46 percent daily gain. The candles are Heikin Ashi, and they show consistent green bodies over the past two weeks—clear sign of sustained bullish momentum.

The TON price just broke through the upper band of the Bollinger Bands. Thats often a sign of short-term overextension, but in trending markets, it can also signal the beginning of an aggressive push. The Bollinger Bands are widening, which supports the idea of increased volatility, not a reversal just yet.

Support sits around $3.27 and $2.97, the mid and lower bands respectively. But the real interest is in the levels above.

Fibonacci extensions suggest a potential short-term target of $4.00 followed by $4.40 if momentum holds. If Toncoin price pushes past $4.50 with volume, it opens the door to test $5.00. That level isnt just psychological—it aligns with prior resistance back in early Q2.

What Could Go Wrong？

STONfis funding gives the ecosystem firepower, but execution still matters. If features get delayed or fail to attract new liquidity, the hype fizzles. Also, TON still lacks the developer saturation that Ethereum or Solana enjoy. One DEX does not make a full DeFi ecosystem.

On the technical side, watch for bearish divergence or any sharp pullbacks toward $3.25. That would weaken the current setup.

TON Price Prediction: Is $5 in Sight？

If momentum continues and the new features roll out on schedule, Toncoin price could rally toward the $4.40 to $5.00 zone within the next 2 to 4 weeks. Volume confirmation is key. If we get two more strong daily closes above $3.70 with rising volume, $4 is almost a given.

If broader market sentiment stays neutral or bullish, this TON price rally has legs. But any sudden shift in risk appetite or delays in promised upgrades could stall the run around $4.

Institutional backing doesn‘t guarantee a price pump, but it adds serious weight to the long-term thesis. Toncoin is no longer just Telegram’s side project. Its building a DeFi layer with real traction and serious funding. If the bulls hold this momentum, the next stop could be $5. Keep a close eye on volume and the $3.70 to $4.00 breakout zone.

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