Bitcoin Could Account for Around 1.7% of Global Money as Fed Signals Potential Rate Cuts and Monetary Expansion

Bitcoin‘s share of global money is roughly 1.7% when measured against a $112.9 trillion fiat basket plus $25.1 trillion in gold, per River’s analysis; at a current market cap near $2.29 trillion that share is about 1.66%, highlighting growing allocation to hard money amid monetary expansion.

• Bitcoin accounts for approximately 1.7% of global money
• River compared Bitcoins market cap to a $112.9T fiat basket and $25.1T gold market cap.
• At $2.29T market cap Bitcoins share is about 1.66%; Fed signals and liquidity dynamics are driving demand for hard money.

What is Bitcoins share of global money？

Bitcoin‘s share of global money is the percentage of aggregate global money represented by Bitcoin’s market capitalization versus a combined fiat money and gold basket. Using Rivers figures, Bitcoin reached about 1.7% at a $2.4 trillion market cap and sits near 1.66% at $2.29 trillion.

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River, a Bitcoin financial services firm, weighed Bitcoins market capitalization against a $112.9 trillion basket of fiat currencies (aggregate M2 equivalents across major and selected minor currencies) plus a $25.1 trillion valuation for gold. The calculation excludes silver, platinum and exotic metals, focusing on major hard-money alternatives.

River stated: “In 16 years, Bitcoin went up to 1.7% of global money.” The methodology compares market caps to a broad measure of global liquidity rather than GDP or narrow domestic aggregates. Using a $2.4 trillion Bitcoin market cap yields ~1.7%; at the time of writing a $2.29 trillion cap produces ~1.66%.

Front-loaded liquidity and sustained monetary expansion have eroded fiat purchasing power, prompting allocation to scarce digital assets. Investors increasingly view Bitcoin and gold as hard-money hedges when central banks ease or signal rate cuts.

At the Jackson Hole Economic Symposium, Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell indicated policy is moving closer to neutral and signaled cautious consideration of rate reductions: “Our policy rate is now 100 basis points (BPS) closer to neutral than it was a year ago…” Markets interpreted the tone as dovish, contributing to a short-term Bitcoin price surge.

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