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Crypto community sets the odds of Bitcoin hitting $130,000 in October 

Crypto community sets the odds of Bitcoin hitting $130,000 in October  WikiBit 2025-09-15 18:52

On the crypto-based prediction platform Polymarket, traders have staked nearly $600,000 on contracts implying a 10% chance Bitcoin (BTC) will hit $130,000

What price will Bitcoin hit? Source: PolymarketIs Bitcoin on track for $130k?

At the time of writing, Bitcoin was trading at $115,700, gaining 3.5% on the weekly chart as institutional demand via

spot exchange

-traded funds (ETFs) continues to underpin the market with $2.3 billion in recorded inflows just last week.

The macro backdrop remains driven by monetary policy. , for instance, sees a 98% chance of a rate cut at the upcoming Fed meeting scheduled for September 16–17.

With somewhat softer inflation readings last month, traders are also hoping for increased liquidity, a situation comparable to the 2020–2021 rally, which allowed BTC to climb from $10,000 to $69,000.

Gold could set the stage for another Bicoin rally

Likewise, Bitcoin remains closely correlated with gold, which climbed back to over $3,650 per ounce on September 12, just as silver hit its highest closing price in 14 years.

If gold continues to trend higher, BTCs current consolidation could mirror previous phases that preceded breakouts, as past cycles have shown that Bitcoin tends to reverse and then break out when the precious metal peaks.

From a technical perspective, BTC reclaimed its 50-day simple moving average (SMA) at just north of $114,500 after breaking out of a September downtrend channel. Now, resistance is forming at around $117,500–$118,000, with a potential upside target of $125,000 if breached.

Disclaimer:

The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.

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