Rising Outflows Push ETH Toward Key Breakdown Zone

Ethereum

Rising Outflows Push ETH Toward Key Breakdown Zone

• Ethereum trades near $2,995, struggling to stay above the $2,950–$2,880 demand zone as sellers dominate.
• Coinglass data shows $27.56M in outflows, extending the multi-week distribution trend since breaking below the 200-day EMA.
• A close below $2,950 exposes $2,800 and $2,600, while reclaiming $3,083 and $3,392 could flip short-term momentum bullish.

Ethereum price today trades near $2,995, holding just above the critical $2,950 to $2,880 demand zone as sellers continue to pressure the structure ahead of November 19. The market remains locked inside a clear downtrend, with the descending trendline dominating price action and the EMA cluster reinforcing bearish control.

ETH Extends Breakdown As Sellers Defend The Trendline

Ethereum has failed to break the descending trendline that has capped every rebound since early October. Each rally attempt toward $3,350 to $3,450 has been rejected at the underside of this line, confirming a steady sequence of lower highs.

Price now sits beneath all major EMAs.

• 20 EMA: $3,392
• 50 EMA: $3,703
• 100 EMA: $3,781
• 200 EMA: $3,564

The slope of these EMAs shows consistent downward pressure, while the daily candles remain trapped below the 200 day average for more than two weeks. This confirms that buyers have lost medium term control and the market is reacting more to forced flows than risk appetite.

The RSI sits near 30, showing the market is approaching oversold territory, but it has not produced any divergence strong enough to negate the broader trend.

Spot Outflows Rise As Selling Pressure Continues

Coinglass data shows Ethereum recorded $27.56 million in net outflows on November 18, reinforcing the selling bias visible over the past week.

Most sessions in November have leaned toward outflows, suggesting that investors continue to reduce exposure rather than accumulate into weakness.

This aligns with the broader pattern of red outflow bars dating back to late October, when the break below the 200 day EMA first triggered rotation out of ETH. Rising outflows during a macro downtrend typically confirm that spot sellers are driving price, rather than derivatives liquidation alone.

Intraday Momentum Shows Weak Attempts To Stabilize

Short-term charts reveal ETH attempting to stabilize above $2,980, but the recovery remains shallow. On the 30 minute timeframe, the Supertrend sits overhead at $3,083, forming a ceiling that has rejected every micro-bounce.

The Parabolic SAR is above price, confirming that downside momentum remains active. Each attempt to reclaim $3,050 to $3,100 has stalled immediately as sellers lean into the intraday bearish structure.

For buyers to gain footing, ETH needs a close above $3,083 to flip the Supertrend. This would signal the first sign of momentum exhaustion from sellers. Until that happens, rallies remain corrective rather than constructive.

Outlook. Will Ethereum Go Up？

Ethereums trend remains bearish heading into November 19, and the burden of proof shifts fully to buyers.

• Bullish case: ETH holds above $2,950, reclaims $3,083, and breaks through $3,392. That would flip short-term momentum and put the descending trendline back into play for a breakout attempt.
• Bearish case: A daily close below $2,950 exposes $2,800, followed by the deeper support zone near $2,600. Staying below the EMAs keeps the entire structure tilted downward.

If ETH reclaims $3,083 and pushes above the 20 EMA, buyers regain control. Losing $2,950 confirms continuation of the downtrend.