XRP Price Prediction Shows Bearish Trend With a 20% Drop Ahead

Daily realized losses also jumped to $75 million, the highest level since April 2025. “Realized losses” means traders sold coins for less than what they paid. This is a sign that the market is stressed.

Only 58.5% of the total supply is in profit now. This means many holders are sitting on losses, which often makes the market more sensitive to any drop.

Weak Trend Signals Add to the XRP Price Crash Angle

Another reason behind the gloomy XRP price prediction is that the current trends are also showing weakness. The 100-day EMA is close to moving below the 200-day EMA. EMA stands for Exponential Moving Average.

It is a simple line that shows the average price over many days. When the fast EMA (100-day) moves below the slow EMA (200-day), it is called a bearish crossover.

This move often speeds up a fall because it shows that the short-term trend has turned weaker than the long-term trend.

On-chain data matches this weakness. About 41.5% of the XRP supply, roughly 26.5 billion Ripple coin, now sits at a loss.

When a large part of the supply falls into loss at the same time, it often creates more selling pressure because many holders panic or exit early.

XRP still has long-term believers, but even analysts who expect higher targets say that a deep correction is likely first.

Most XRP price long-range targets point toward $5, $8, and even $13, but these belong to the next cycle.

XRP Price Bullish Projections | Source: X

Right now, the likely demand zone sits between $1.75 and $1.58. This is the area where buyers stepped in before, and charts show that past bottoms formed in similar zones.

The XRP price prediction stays bearish while Ripple coin trades below $2.26–$2.33. This range needs to break first before any strong recovery starts.

If XRP price remains stuck under these levels, every bounce can still fail. That way, the chart would continue to favor a drop toward $1.57.

The crypto can recover later, but for now, the XRP price prediction signs show that the market is still weak, large holders are selling, and the key support is only a small step away.