ETH traders ramp up positioning, setting a price target at $3.4K

Ethereum traders ramped up leverage as futures dominance surged and key technical levels came into play. Will ETH bulls succeed in catalyzing a rally to $3,400？

Ethereum (ETH) traders are quietly rotating back into leverage, with fresh futures data signaling a major shift in market positioning as ETH approaches a critical technical zone.

Key takeaways:

• Ether leads all major crypto assets in the futures-to-spot ratio, with the current rating at 6.84.
• Derivatives traders are reallocating risk into ETH while Bitcoin shows declining open interest.
• Technical structure remains constructive, with bulls eyeing a potential run toward $3,390 if key levels flip.

ETH futures attract more attention from traders

Recent data from CryptoQuant indicated Ethers futures-to-spot ratio on Binance had risen sharply from 5 to 6.84, its highest level in Q4. This acceleration marked a decisive rotation in market behavior, where traders increasingly prefer leveraged exposure over spot accumulation.

Binance Futures/Spot ratio for BTC, ETH, XRP. Source: CryptoQuant

Compared to Bitcoin and Solana, sitting at 4 and 4.3, respectively, ETH has created a gap for itself as the markets most aggressively positioned large-cap asset. This divergence pointed to rising expectations of ETH-specific volatility or catalysts ahead, with traders leaning heavily into derivatives to capture directional moves.

Further supporting this shift, onchain data from Binance highlighted a notable decline in Bitcoin open interest (OI) over the last two weeks, while Ether‘s OI has remained relatively stable with only a mild 0.47% average pullback per day. The trend suggested that market participants are rotating risk capital out of BTC’s uptrend and into ETHs higher-beta opportunity.

Open interest change on Binance for BTC, ETH. Source: CryptoQuant

ETH traders remain split on its next move

With ETH breaking the $3,000 level this week, analysts debated whether ETH can convert building derivatives pressure into a sustained breakout.

Crypto trader Scient argued ETHs structure is already outperforming Bitcoin, pointing to a reinforced four-hour support base around $2,800. Bulls expected this zone to attract buyers again on any retest, setting up an initial push toward $3,050 and potentially the major liquidity cluster at $3,390, an area aligning with high-timeframe support/resistance, a fair value gap (FVG), and the yearly open.

Ethers four-hour chart analysis by Scient. Source: X

However, Lab Tradings analyst Ken believed the short-term is still bearish. ETH has consistently rejected the four-hour, 100-EMA level throughout November, and the trader warned that unless $3,000 flips into support, the market risks another downside extension.

Meanwhile, crypto analyst Kingpin Crypto said the “Thanksgiving lull” is a potential springboard. With price reacting off the 0.618 retracement of the 2025 rally and multiple higher-time frame supports below, some expect a December “Ethereum Santa rally” toward the $3,300s, especially as Bitcoin dominance continues to soften.

This article does not contain investment advice or recommendations. Every investment and trading move involves risk, and readers should conduct their own research when making a decision.