Dogecoin Approaches Critical Support as Analyst Eyes Possible DOGE Season

Dogecoin nears major support after breakdown, with a prominent analyst suggesting a possible DOGE season.

Notably, Dogecoin is trading at $0.1376, showing a 7.8% decline over the past 24 hours as sharp sell-side momentum pushed the meme coin to its lowest levels in the past few days.

Additionally, DOGE is down 5.8% over the last seven days, 14.7% over 14 days, and 25.8% across the past 30 days, reflecting sustained downward pressure as bullish conviction fades. During the past 24 hours, Dogecoin has traded within a range of $0.1368 to $0.1505, with volatility accelerating toward the lower boundary of that band.

Despite the steepening pullback, Dogecoin retains a market cap of roughly $20.9 billion, backed by more than $1.35 billion in trading volume recorded over the last 24 hours. DOGEs price chart shows a clear deterioration in structure, with market watchers now looking if Dogecoin forms a base and reverses, or whether current weakness risks extend into the deeper corrective territory.

Dogecoin Price Analysis

The weekly Dogecoin chart shows the asset trading firmly below key Fibonacci retracement levels, reflecting sustained downside momentum. After failing to hold above the 0.618 retracement zone near $0.20, DOGE broke through the 0.786 level at roughly $0.17. More recently, the 1 Fibonacci region around $0.19 is being tested, and acts as the next liquidity zone.

Dogecoin

A decisive close below $0.13 would expose Dogecoin to the deeper Fibonacci extension at 1.618 ($0.02). However, a bounce at the current support could offer an early signal of price stabilization, particularly if DOGE manages to reclaim the $0.16–$0.19 Fibonacci bands.

Elsewhere, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the weekly timeframe reinforces this bearish posture. With a current reading of 37.72, momentum sits below the neutral 50 line and continues to trend downward, indicating weakening buying strength and an environment where sellers retain control.

Importantly, there are no clear bullish divergences present, and the RSI has remained under its moving average line, conditions often seen in extended corrective phases.

Is the DOGE Season On？

On the market commentary end, Trader Tardigrade noted that Dogecoin‘s most recent monthly candle closed below its long-term ascending support trendline, which he described as a “confirmed breakdown.” According to his chart, similar breakdown events occurred during previous cycle phases, marking structural shifts in DOGE’s long-range trajectory, specifically to the upside.

Despite the bearish implication of the breakdown itself, Tardigrade also suggested that the event acted as a catalyst for what he called a “massive Doge season.” The analyst placed the next target for Dogecoin price above $6.5. For perspective, a move to $6.50 from the current price of $0.1376 would require approximately a 4,624% surge.