WikiBit 2025-12-10 05:21Fees on the Ethereum network fell by 62% in 30 days, but does a falling TVL and fee revenue project further price decline for ETH?
Ethereum‘s base layer demand softened in November, but ETH’s underlying price supports and strong layer-2 growth show the network still has momentum despite a drop in fees and TVL.
Key takeaways:
Ether (ETH) rallied to a three-week high near $3,400 on Tuesday after weak United States job market data reinforced expectations that US monetary policy could become less restrictive sooner than previously thought.
Even with the 11.2% weekly gains, traders still worry that sluggish Ethereum network activity and limited demand for bullish leverage may curb the short-term upside.
Blockchains ranked by 7-day network fees, USD. Source: Nansen
Nansen data shows that Ethereums 30-day network fees dropped by 62%, a far deeper pullback than the roughly 22% decline observed on Tron, Solana and HyperEVM during the same window.
Some activity, however, stood out: transactions on Base rose 108%, while Polygon recorded an 81% increase, suggesting continued momentum across Ethereums expanding layer-2 ecosystem.
The Ethereum Fusaka upgrade on Dec. 3 introduced changes designed to improve rollup efficiency, which may have contributed to the lower network fees noted throughout the month.
ETH perpetual futures 8-hour funding rate. Source: CoinGlass
On Tuesday, the annualized funding rate for ETH perpetual futures held near 9%, reflecting a fairly even distribution of leveraged positions between buyers (longs) and sellers (shorts). Under normal market conditions, this indicator tends to oscillate between 6% and 12% to account for capital costs; levels above that range usually signal stronger bullish positioning.
Traders turned more defensive after the US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported 1.85 million layoffs in October, the highest figure since 2023. Markets are now pricing in a 0.25% interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve on Wednesday, while attention shifts to Fed Chair Jerome Powells comments following the Committee meeting.
Ethereums layer-2 growth offsets base layer fee declines
Despite the recent bullish momentum, Ether still trades 32% below its all-time high of $4,597 from August. To gauge whether demand for the Ethereum network is genuinely declining, its useful to look at the impact on decentralized applications (DApps).
Ethereum network 7-day DEX volumes (left) vs. DApps revenue (right). Source: DefiLlama
Volumes on Ethereum-based decentralized exchanges fell to $13.4 billion over seven days, down from $23.6 billion four weeks earlier. Likewise, decentralized application revenues reached a five-month low of $12.3 million during the same period. Overall, demand for Ethereums base layer processing has been slipping since it peaked in late August.
Ethereum DApps with $500 million or higher in TVL. Source: DefiLlama
Some of Ethereum‘s leading DApps saw a sharp drop in total value locked (TVL), including Pendle, Athena, Morpho and Spark. Aggregate TVL on the Ethereum base layer fell to $76 billion from $100 billion two months earlier. Even so, Ethereum’s dominance remains intact with a 68% market share, while runner-up Solana holds under 10%.
Ether bulls argue that the networks strong incentives for layer-2 scalability offer a more sustainable model compared with the heavier load and centralized coordination required by competing blockchains. Ethereum is positioned to capture a significant share of future growth in decentralized finance (DeFi).
Related: US Treasurys lead tokenization wave as CoinShares predicts 2026 growth
US Securities and Exchange Commission Paul Atkins reportedly said in a FOX Business interview that tokenization of the US market could occur in “a couple of years,” adding that blockchain offers “huge benefits” such as predictability and transparency. Atkins said the US should “embrace this new technology, bring it onshore where it can work under American rules.”
While Ethereums base layer fees have seen a sharp decline, along with the drop in TVL, activity across the layer-2 ecosystem continues to expand. Currently, neither onchain nor derivatives data indicate a meaningful weakness in ETH price dynamics.
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