Sui $82.8M Token Unlock May Add Sell Pressure Amid Price Range

Sui (SUI) faces an $82.8 million token unlock on January 1, 2025, increasing sell pressure on the altcoin. Trading near $1.50 in a $1.30-$1.68 range, SUI shows bullish mid-range flip but weak volume and sideways OBV signal caution against trend reversal.

• $82.8 million Sui token unlock scheduled for January 1, 2025, as per recent analysis.
• SUI price holds at $1.50, flipping mid-range resistance at $1.49 to support.
• OBV flat and volume below 20-day average; RSI hints at momentum shift despite risks.

Sui will see an $82.8 million token unlock on the 1st of January, a recent COINOTAG report revealed. This is a monthly unlock that keeps adding to the potential sell pressure on the altcoin, and could curb any attempts to make a bullish trend reversal.

Source: SUI/USDT on TradingView

What is the Sui token unlock on January 1, 2025？

Sui token unlock on January 1, 2025, releases $82.8 million worth of SUI tokens into circulation, part of its scheduled vesting. This monthly event heightens sell pressure, as unlocked tokens often enter the market. Currently, SUI trades at around $1.50, navigating a range-bound chart amid these dynamics.

The 1-day chart revealed a range formation in place since November. This range, highlighted in purple, extended from $1.30 to $1.68. Moreover, the mid-range level was at $1.49. Sui [SUI] was trading at $1.50 at the time of writing. This was a bullish development. A flip of the mid-range resistance to support generally signals an upcoming rally toward the upper range extreme, at $1.68 in this case. Sui bulls have pushed prices above the mid-range level for the first time since the 17th of December.

Despite the recent gains, the OBV was moving sideways and lacked a noticeable upward trend. At the same time, the trading volume has been well below the 20-day moving average over the past two weeks. It was a warning sign to SUI bulls, though the RSI signaled a shift in momentum.

How is SUI price reacting to the upcoming token unlock？

SUI remains in a consolidation phase between $1.30 and $1.68 support and resistance levels on the daily chart, with price at $1.50 flipping the $1.49 mid-point to support. On-balance volume (OBV) shows no bullish divergence, staying flat, while volume lags the 20-day average by significant margins—data from TradingView indicates averages 20-30% below recent peaks. The Relative Strength Index (RSI) has ticked higher to neutral territory around 55, suggesting potential short-term momentum. Market analysts note that similar unlocks in Layer-1 tokens have led to 5-15% corrections in prior months, per aggregated on-chain data from platforms like TokenUnlocks and Vestlab. “Token unlocks test network resilience,” states a blockchain researcher from Messari, emphasizing the need for robust demand to absorb supply.

Frequently Asked QuestionsWhat amount of Sui tokens are unlocking on January 1, 2025？

The Sui token unlock on January 1, 2025, totals $82.8 million in SUI value, equivalent to a portion of vested tokens for early contributors and ecosystem reserves. This follows the projects linear vesting schedule, designed to balance supply distribution over time.

Will the Sui token unlock impact SUI price significantly？

The Sui token unlock could add selling pressure, potentially pushing SUI toward the $1.30 range low if volume doesn‘t support demand. Short-term buyers eye $1.68 highs on a retest of $1.50, but lower timeframe charts suggest caution amid Bitcoin’s $90,000 resistance test.

Source: SUI/USDT on TradingView

SUI saw multiple bullish structure breaks in recent days. Bitcoin [BTC] was also knocking on the doors of the $90k psychological resistance. It is possible that short-term momentum would favor the bulls. In this scenario, traders can use a retest of the $1.50 level to buy the altcoin, targeting the $1.68 range highs. A drop below $1.43 would invalidate the bullish idea.

Sui bulls are not strong, as the OBV and dwindling volume indicated on the 1-day timeframe. The short-term bullish idea was risky, even though there was some lower timeframe demand. Traders can wait for the breakout past the mid-range resistance to fail before going short, or they can remain sidelined. A drop below $1.43 would signal a bearish structural shift in the price action.

Key Takeaways

• Sui token unlock pressure: $82.8 million release on Jan 1, 2025, risks downward push amid low volume.
• Chart signals mixed: Bullish mid-range flip at $1.49, but OBV sideways and RSI neutral warrant caution.
• Trading strategy: Monitor $1.43 invalidation; sidelining advised until clear breakout.