Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction: Bitcoin at a Critical Juncture as Weekly RSI Breakout Eyes $105K While Support Weakens Below $89K

Bitcoin is entering a high-stakes decision zone as tightening price action, shifting momentum indicators, and rising volatility place the market on alert for a decisive breakout or breakdown.

After several weeks of consolidation, Bitcoin price today is hovering just below the $90,000 mark, posting a modest intraday decline while maintaining consistently high trading activity. This combination of steady volume and constrained price movement reflects a market caught between improving higher-timeframe momentum and lingering downside vulnerability should key support levels fail.

Bitcoin Price Today Chart Shows Critical Support Under Pressure

Recent price behavior underscores the importance of the $89,200 support zone, a level closely watched by short-term and swing traders. Widely followed technical analyst Ted Pillows, known for tracking Bitcoin market structure, noted that this area has repeatedly absorbed selling pressure.

Bitcoin tests $89,200 support, with $87,500 as downside risk and $94K–$95K key for a push toward $102K–$103K. Source: @TedPillows via X

“The first one is the $89,200 level, which has acted as a support. If this is lost, Bitcoin will drop towards the $87,500 level,” Ted said, adding that a daily close below $87,500 would likely confirm a new local low.

From a bitcoin technical analysis standpoint, BTC is currently testing the lower boundary of a descending triangle,an increasingly common structure during late-stage consolidations. While the pattern itself does not guarantee a bearish outcome, historical price action shows that repeated tests of triangle support often lead to either a liquidity sweep followed by sharp recovery or a momentum-driven breakdown if demand fails to respond.

Bitcoin RSI Signals Growing Upside Momentum

Despite near-term caution at support, higher-timeframe momentum indicators are beginning to improve. Analyst BitBull (@AkaBull_), a long-time observer of RSI-based trend shifts, highlighted a notable development on Bitcoins weekly chart.

BTC weekly RSI breaks 3-month downtrend, signaling potential upside toward $103K–$105K in the next 3–4 weeks. Source: @AkaBull_ via X

“$BTC weekly RSI is calling for more upside here. Broke out of its 3-month downtrend and holding above the breakout line,” he wrote, pointing to a potential move toward the $103,000–$105,000 region.

Historically, weekly RSI trendline breakouts during extended consolidations have often preceded multi-week advances, particularly when price follows through by reclaiming nearby resistance levels. However, these signals tend to lose effectiveness if price stalls below resistance for too long, increasing the risk of false starts rather than sustained trend continuation.

As a result, the RSI breakout strengthens the medium-term Bitcoin price forecast, but its validity remains closely tied to Bitcoins ability to resolve current range conditions constructively.

Key Resistance Levels Define the Bitcoin Price Prediction

On the upside, analysts broadly identify $92,000–$93,000 as the first major resistance band. TradingView analyst Crypto_robotics, who focuses on supply-demand transitions, described this zone as a pivotal decision area following its recent role as a region of heavy absorption.

Bitcoin rebounds from $90K support, testing $92K–$93K resistance, with potential upside toward $100K or downside risk to $87K–$88.4K. Source: Crypto_robotics on TradingView

A decisive breakout and strong daily close above this range would likely signal renewed bullish control, potentially opening a pathway toward the psychologically significant $100,000 level. Failure to reclaim it, however, would keep Bitcoin locked in a broader range and leave downside risks toward $87,000 active.

Above that, $94,000–$95,000 stands out as a sentiment-shifting threshold. A successful reclaim of this zone has historically coincided with expanding momentum and renewed discussion around Bitcoin revisiting its all-time high region later in the cycle.

Final Thoughts

Bitcoins current setup reflects a market near equilibrium, where momentum is improving but confirmation remains incomplete. The breakout in weekly RSI supports a constructive medium-term outlook, keeping upside targets in the $100,000–$105,000 range technically viable.

Bitcoin was trading at around 89,846, down 0.21% in the last 24 hours at press time. Source: Bitcoin price via Brave New Coin

At the same time, price remains vulnerable while trading below key resistance. A sustained move above $93,000–$95,000, ideally accompanied by expanding volume and strong daily closes, would likely tilt sentiment decisively bullish. Conversely, a loss of $89,200 followed by a daily close below $87,500 would weaken the bullish case and increase the probability of deeper consolidation or renewed downside pressure.