Prediction Markets Remain Skeptical on Disclosure After Obama Confirm Aliens 'Are Real'

Even after former U.S. President Barack Obama recently confirmed that aliens were real, prediction markets remain skeptical about an official disclosure from the U.S. government, at least during 2026. Polymarket bets give only a 10% of this happening.

No Hope For Official Disclosure Even After Obama Claims Aliens Are Real

While there have been developments regarding Unidentified Aerial Phenomena (UAP), with official videos being leaked and whistleblowers being featured in congressional hearings, prediction markets dont expect full disclosure on the issue anytime soon.

Nonetheless, recent statements have fanned the flames of believers. Barack Obama, former U.S. president, was asked by Youtuber Bryan Tyler Cohen on the topic, and his answers surprised many.

When asked if aliens were real, Obama stated:

“They‘re real, but I haven’t seen them, and theyre not being kept in, what is it … Area 51.”

Obama added that there was no underground facility, unless theres an enormous conspiracy and they have hidden all of it from the president of the United States, an opinion shared by many conspiracy theorists.

He also revealed that the first question he wanted answered after becoming president was about where the aliens were.

Prediction markets failed to react after the confirmation of the existence of aliens by someone who was, at one point, the most powerful man in the world, rejecting possible advancements regarding a disclosure movement, at least in 2026.

A Polymarket bet that tracks the chances of an official U.S. government disclosure regarding the existence of aliens barely moved after Obamas statements, still giving only a 11% of this happening this year.

The market specifies that it will resolve positively only “if the President of the United States, any member of the Cabinet of the United States, any member of the Joint Chiefs of Staff, or any US federal agency definitively states that extraterrestrial life or technology exists by December 31, 2026.”

President Donald Trump has referred several times to UAPs. In June 2024, he was confronted by influencer Logan Paul, who asked about the possibility of a cover-up hiding alien information from him. “I guess so. You have the deep state. And you do have the deep state. Certainly, they could, but I dont think on this subject,” Trump answered.