XRP Price Crash to $1 Likely as Middle East Conflict Escalates

WikiBit 2026-02-28 18:52

The possibility of an XRP crash to $1 is no longer a distant bearish theory but a looming technical reality. As geopolitical instability drives investors

XRP/USD 4H chartKey Technical Levels to Watch

Level Type	Price Point	Market Significance
Immediate Resistance	$1.45	Previous support turned resistance; must be reclaimed to invalidate the crash.
Critical Support	$1.28	The last major buffer before a psychological “free fall.”
Bearish Target	$1.00	The ultimate psychological floor and historical consolidation zone.
Extreme Capitulation	$0.85	Potential bottom if the conflict expands to a global scale.

“Risk-Off” vs. “Safe Haven”

In financial markets, a “Risk-Off” environment occurs when investors avoid assets with high volatility due to macroeconomic or geopolitical uncertainty. Despite the narrative of some tokens acting as “Digital Gold,” recent price action confirms that XRP and most altcoins still trade as high-risk assets. They are typically the first to be sold during a war-induced panic, while Safe Havens like Gold or the USD see inflows.

The broader market is already feeling the pinch. Bitcoin has faced significant downward pressure as news of U.S. involvement in regional strikes hit the wires. Historically, when BTC drops, altcoins experience magnified losses. For XRP, which was already facing technical exhaustion, the war serves as the fundamental “black swan” event that could force a test of the $1.00 support level.

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