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Bitcoin’s $415M Gamma Flush Could End the $85K–$90K Range

Bitcoin’s $415M Gamma Flush Could End the $85K–$90K Range WikiBit 2025-12-24 21:26

Bitcoin is trapped between $85K and $90K due to dealer hedging, not spot trader activity. Heavy call selling at $90K and put buying at $85K is

Bitcoin

Bitcoins $415M Gamma Flush Could End the $85K–$90K Range

  • Bitcoin is trapped between $85K and $90K due to dealer hedging, not spot trader activity.
  • Heavy call selling at $90K and put buying at $85K is mechanically pinning the price.
  • About $415M in dealer gamma expires by December 26, removing two-thirds of volatility suppression.

Bitcoin has spent days moving in a tight $85,000-$90,000 range. This is not spot traders fighting each other, but the price is pinned by options positioning, as per analysts.

According to data, Bitcoin is sitting near $88,000, a key options flip level. Around this zone, dealers must hedge constantly. Above it, they sell into rallies. Below it, they buy dips. The result is forced balance, not real price discovery.

On the other hand, at $85,000, puts dominate. As price falls, dealers buy spot to hedge. This creates fast bounces and shallow dips. That is why sell-offs do not extend. The range feels calm, but it is artificial.

Gamma Is Suppressing Volatility Into December 26

This structure exists due to elevated dealer gamma exposure, which incentivizes hedging behavior that favors price stability and low volatility.

When Bitcoin moves toward the upper end of the range, dealers sell spot to hedge call exposure. When it dips, they buy spot to hedge puts. As a result, rallies are capped and sell-offs are absorbed, preventing volatility from expanding.

According to CoinDesk analyst James Van Straten, Bitcoin is likely to stay between $85,000 and $90,000 until options expiry. Roughly $415 million in dealer gamma, about 67% of total exposure, will be wiped out by December 26th.

December 26: Removes the Price Pin

On December 26, another $287 million in gamma expires. This single date holds nearly half of all current dealer gamma exposure. After expiry, the hedging flows vanish. Dealers no longer need to sell rallies or buy dips. The market stops fighting against forced supply and demand.

This does not require new buyers or sellers to appear. It simply removes the weight holding price down.

Bitcoin is currently trading near $88,700, roughly 25% below the broader trend value near $118,000. Once the gamma wall clears, price can move freely toward areas where no dealer resistance exists.

Disclaimer:

The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.

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