Will AAVE price recover above $100 as DeFi selling rises

On the upside, $100 is the primary resistance. A confirmed daily close above the Supertrend at $107.82 is the minimum required to shift the short-term bias toward neutral. A sustained recovery above $100 with volume confirmation opens the path toward $112, as indicated by the potential ascending structure visible on the 4H chart.

On-Chain Context and Institutional Signals

Grayscale Investments has filed to convert its Aave Trust into an ETF on NYSE Arca, a potential longer-term demand catalyst, though approval timelines provide no near-term price support. According to CoinGlass data, AAVE futures open interest has declined alongside price in recent sessions, consistent with long-side deleveraging rather than aggressive fresh short building, which reduces the probability of a sharp short-covering bounce.

If $92.29 gives way on the 4H chart, a revisit of the $83.92 intraday low looks probable, with $80 as the last significant structural support before territory AAVE has not traded in years.