Avalanche (AVAX) Price Prediction: Range Tightens as $10.50 Breakout Could Trigger Move Towards $13+

AVAX is tightening within a key $8.20–$10.50 range, with repeated tests of resistance hinting that a breakout or rejection could soon define the next major move.

With price repeatedly bouncing from range lows, the focus now shifts to whether AVAX can build enough momentum to break through the $10.50 resistance zone, as data from Brave New Coin continues to highlight improving short-term strength.

Range Between $8.20 and $10.50 Continues to Control Price

AVAX has been trading inside a clearly defined range, with support near $8.20 and resistance around $10.50, as highlighted by Trader Symba. Price has respected this zone multiple times, bouncing from the lower boundary and rejecting from the highs. Right now, AVAX is once again moving towards the $10.50 resistance, making this the key level to watch.

AVAX continues to respect its $8.20–$10.50 range, with repeated tests of resistance near $10.50 signaling building breakout pressure. Source: Trader Symba via X

A clean breakout above $10.50 would likely open the move towards $12.70, followed by a higher resistance zone near $13.90, both clearly marked on the chart. However, failure here would keep price stuck in the range, with downside risk back towards $9.00 and potentially $8.20 again. At this stage, the range is still intact, but pressure is building near the highs.

Higher Lows Suggest Early Strength Within the Range

Looking deeper into the structure, coin price is beginning to form slightly higher lows inside the range, showing that buyers are stepping in earlier on dips.

Avalanche is trading near $9.35, up 3.88% over the last 24 hours. Source: Brave New Coin

This is not a confirmed breakout signal yet, but it does suggest that selling pressure is weakening compared to previous tests. Price is no longer sharply rejecting from mid-range; instead, its gradually pushing higher towards resistance. This kind of behavior usually precedes a breakout attempt, especially when the price keeps revisiting the same resistance level.

AVAX Fractal Shows Targets Beyond $32

The higher timeframe chart shared by Crypto Patel shows AVAX sitting right on a major accumulation zone / all-time support area near $8.5–$9.5, where price has repeatedly found demand in previous cycles.

The chart maps prior expansions of roughly 2,067%, 1,470%, and 660% after the price reclaimed this broader base. In the current cycle, AVAX is once again testing that same support region.

AVAX holds a key $8.5–$9.5 base, with past cycle fractals pointing towards a potential move beyond $32. Source: Crypto Patel via X

From here, the upside roadmap is clearly defined by the Fibonacci levels on the chart. The first key reclaim zone sits around $23.5–$32.7, followed by higher targets near $57.9, $114.5, and then the broader extension zone towards $191–$200. As long as AVAX holds this green support block, the larger structure remains bullish.

Three Rising Lows Signal Attempt to Reclaim Higher Levels

Another important observation comes from crypto analyst Trading Nomadic, where the AVAX price is forming three rising lows from the bottom region near $8–$9.

This type of structure often signals an attempt to reclaim higher levels, with price gradually building a base before a move higher. The next key area in this scenario sits around $13–$21, where previous supply zones exist.

AVAX forms three rising lows near $8–$9, signaling a potential push towards $13–$21 if $10.50 resistance breaks. Source: Trading Nomadic via X

However, for this to play out, AVAX first needs to break and hold above the $10.50 range high. Without that, the structure remains incomplete.

Institutional and On-Chain Signals

Beyond price action, broader developments are also building in the background.

Bitwise recently introduced the Avalanche ETF ($BAVA), highlighting AVAXs positioning as an institutional-grade asset with staking integration. This adds long-term structural demand, even if short-term price action remains range-bound.

At the same time, on-chain data shared by Nazoku shows that a single entity has been accumulating AVAX continuously for 7 months, building a position of nearly 2,000,000 AVAX tokens. Recent activity includes a $703K sale, following an earlier $3.3 million sale just 4 days prior. Despite this, the wallet still holds approximately $12.7 million in assets, indicating that broader behavior remains accumulation-heavy rather than fully distributed.

A single entity has accumulated nearly 2M AVAX over 7 months, maintaining a $12.7M position despite recent $4M+ in partial sell-offs. Source: Nazoku via X

Avax Outlook: $10.50 Decides the Next Move

AVAX is currently at a critical stage where both short-term range structure and long-term support are aligned.

The key levels to watch remain:

• $8.20–$8.50 – Strong support zone
• $10.50 – Range breakout level
• $12.20–$12.80 – Immediate upside target after breakout

If AVAX breaks and holds above $10.50, it would confirm range expansion and likely trigger a move towards the $12 region. However, if the price continues to reject at the resistance, the market may remain in consolidation until enough momentum builds for a sustained breakout.