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Did the Crash Just End?

Did the Crash Just End? WikiBit 2025-11-20 21:39

When money starts flowing back into bitcoin ETFs right after a bruising week of outflows, it usually tells you the market isn’t broken, just catching its

The latest data from SoSoValue shows U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs pulled in 75.47 million dollars on Wednesday. That may not sound explosive, but the context matters. BlackRock‘s IBIT alone brought in 60.61 million dollars just a day after bleeding a record 523 million dollars. That’s a sharp reversal that signals institutions werent panicking; they were repositioning.

Grayscale‘s Mini Bitcoin Trust also added 53.84 million dollars. These gains were partially held back by outflows from Fidelity’s FBTC and VanEcks HODL, which lost 21.35 million and 17.63 million dollars, respectively. Still, the shift back to inflows shows appetite returning after a short but heavy sell window.

What Caused the Five-Day Outflow Spiral?

From November 12 to 18, bitcoin ETFs saw a brutal stretch, shedding more than 2.26 billion dollars. That drawdown lined up with bitcoin falling below 90,000 dollars for the first time in weeks. But Kronos Research CIO Vincent Liu gave a more grounded interpretation. He said the outflows werent capitulation. They were recalibration. Big players simply reduced exposure until macro signals—especially from the Fed—became clearer.

The market turbulence wasnt helped by the 43-day U.S. government shutdown either. With federal agencies frozen out of discretionary spending, liquidity across risk markets tightened. Crypto tends to feel that squeeze first. Analysts expect liquidity to slowly return now that operations have resumed.

How Much Does the Fed Matter Right Now?

Quite a lot. Jerome Powells recent remarks pushed back expectations for a December rate cut, and traders are reacting. The CME FedWatch Tool now assigns just a 33.8 percent chance of a 25-basis-point cut next month, down from nearly 49 percent earlier in the week. That drop in confidence dragged sentiment into extreme fear territory, with the Crypto Fear and Greed Index printing 11.

When macro uncertainty drains confidence, ETFs feel the pressure. When that uncertainty lifts even slightly, flows tend to rebound quickly. Wednesdays bounce fits that pattern.

Bitcoin Price: Is the Recovery Real?

Bitcoin has nudged back into the green, rising 0.72 percent over the past 24 hours to around 92,200 dollars. Thats a modest move, but it breaks the downward rhythm of the past week. For now, the ETF flow reversal suggests sentiment is stabilizing, not worsening.

Whats Happening With Ethereum and the Altcoin ETFs?

While bitcoin ETFs found some relief, spot Ethereum ETFs continued their losing streak. They posted another 37.35 million dollars in outflows, marking the seventh straight day of negative flows.

Altcoin ETFs told a very different story. Solanas spot ETFs had a standout session with 55.6 million dollars in inflows. With two new Solana funds launching on Wednesday, there are now six SOL ETFs operating in the U.S., and institutional interest looks healthy.

Canary Capitals spot XRP ETF saw 15.8 million dollars in net inflows, while its Hedera (HBAR) ETF added 577,180 dollars. Its Litecoin fund remained flat for the day.

The Bottom Line

The return to positive bitcoin ETF flows doesn‘t mean the correction is over, but it does show institutions aren’t running for the exits. They‘re waiting for clarity from the Fed, watching liquidity reopen after the shutdown, and recalibrating positions rather than abandoning them. For now, BTC hold above 92,000 dollars reflects a market that’s bruised, not broken.

Disclaimer:

The views in this article only represent the author's personal views, and do not constitute investment advice on this platform. This platform does not guarantee the accuracy, completeness and timeliness of the information in the article, and will not be liable for any loss caused by the use of or reliance on the information in the article.

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