Binance Report Says Bitcoin Crash Driven by Liquidity Scramble

Bitcoin has fallen to its lowest point since late 2024, hitting $63,800 as of press time. The sharp decline came after the nomination of Kevin Warsh to lead the U.S. Federal Reserve. His past support for tighter monetary policy led to selling across risk assets, including cryptocurrencies.

The market moved quickly. Bitcoin broke through several key price levels. Other digital assets followed, with Ethereum also dropping below key support. Over the past 24 hours, crypto markets saw more than $1.3 billion in liquidations. Trading volumes spiked as investors rushed to reduce exposure.

Risk-Off Mood Drives Asset Repositioning

The sell-off in crypto came as traders scrambled for liquidity. Weak earnings from top tech companies and rising global tensions added to the stress. Once Warshs nomination was announced, traders sold off what they could, starting with the most liquid assets.

Gold prices also dropped at first but recovered soon after. Crypto did not. The continued slide in digital coins, even as gold bounced back, showed that crypto sat lower in the liquidity order. As investors raised cash, crypto was sold quickly and heavily.

Binance Research noted that this behavior matched patterns seen in past liquidity crunches. Investors offloaded digital assets to cover margin calls and reduce risk.

Technical Limits May Slow Fed Tightening

Binance analysts said fears of deep balance sheet cuts under Warsh may be too strong. While he has supported reducing the Feds bond holdings before, there may be limits to how much can actually be done.

One concern is that the Feds reverse repo facility is nearly drained. If the Fed keeps pulling liquidity, it could eat into bank reserves. That could push reserves under regulatory levels, which may trigger problems in short-term funding markets.

Another issue is the growing need for buyers of U.S. government debt. The Treasury is expected to issue close to $2 trillion a year. If the Fed cuts back as a buyer, others will have to step in. Without changes to banking rules, the system may not be able to handle the extra load.

Lawmakers reached a deal on February 3 to keep the U.S. government funded through September 2026. This removed a major concern that had been weighing on markets.

While the funding agreement brought some clarity, it was not enough to offset concerns around future Fed policy. Investors remain focused on inflation, interest rates, and the direction of central bank actions in the months ahead.