Bitwise CIO Discovers Changes in Cryptocurrency’s Four-year Cycle

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Bitwise CIO Discovers Changes in Cryptocurrencys Four-year Cycle

• Matt Hougan forecasts diminishing four-year crypto cycle importance and predicts market shifts.
• Institutional participation and regulatory advances fuel long-term growth.
• Wall Street investments suggest significant future market expansion.

Matt Hougan, CIO of Bitwise Asset Management, announced on July 25th about the diminishing relevance of the four-year crypto cycle from New York, signaling a pivotal market evolution.

This shift emphasizes institutional adoption, regulatory advancements, and the influence of ETFs over Bitcoins traditional halving events, indicating a promising and stable long-term market outlook.

Institutionalization and Regulation Drive New Market Dynamics

Bitwise CIO Matt Hougan highlighted diminishing effects of cryptocurrency‘s historical four-year cycle, emphasizing the more substantial impact of institutionalization and regulatory advancements. Hougan’s projection is rooted in the combined forces of rising ETF interest, Wall Street‘s entry into the cryptocurrency landscape, and the GENIUS Act’s recent passage. These changes could overshadow traditional halving effects.

Cryptocurrencys evolving landscape signals possible shifts toward prolonged stability. Hougan asserts that robust regulatory measures and increased institutional flows will drive growth, positioning Bitcoin and others for potential long-term highs. Investors are weighing these macroeconomic dynamics amidst warnings of potential volatility due to increasing market leverage.

“The setup – rising institutional participation, an improved regulatory environment and massive advances in blockchain technology – is extremely strong. My base case is that most crypto assets will trade to new all-time highs this year, with Bitcoin rising above $200,000.” – Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer, Bitwise

Shifting Cycles and Investor Response: A New Era for Bitcoin？

Did you know？ During previous four-year cycles, Bitcoins significant price movements were heavily influenced by halving events. However, with ETFs now acquiring billions and institutional engagement ramping up, the narrative appears to be evolving.

Bitcoin currently trades at $116,325.41 with a market cap of $2.31 trillion, dominating 60.43% of the cryptocurrency market, as per CoinMarketCap data. Recent changes show a 24-hour decrease of -1.84%. The asset experienced gains over the last 90 days, illustrating shifting investment dynamics.

Bitcoin(BTC), daily chart, screenshot on CoinMarketCap at 12:25 UTC on July 25, 2025.

Research by Coincu highlights potential regulatory outcomes with a focus on institutional ETF growth. This period may redefine market expectations, paving the way for a new stable era, drawing parallels to historical transformative phases propelled by legal and financial integrations.