XRP Retests 21-Month EMA, Echoing 2017 Pattern Amid ETF Inflows

XRP is retesting the 21-month EMA in December 2025, mirroring the 2017 pattern that preceded its all-time high. With 19 consecutive days of spot ETF inflows totaling nearly $971 million and broader market gains, analysts anticipate potential upside if key support levels hold.

• XRP nears the 21-month EMA, a critical support level last tested before the 2017 surge to all-time highs.
• Spot ETFs for XRP have seen 19 days of consistent inflows, boosting institutional demand and liquidity.
• Whale activity and wrapped XRP launches on Solana contribute to evolving market dynamics amid Bitcoins rise above $92,000.

What Is the Significance of XRP Retesting the 21-Month EMA？

XRP retesting the 21-month EMA signals a potential repeat of historical patterns, as seen in late 2017 when the token bounced from this level to reach all-time highs in January 2018. Currently trading around $2.03, XRP approaches this exponential moving average amid steady trading volumes of $2.87 billion and a market cap of $122.42 billion. Analysts monitor this test closely, noting that holding above the trendline could pave the way for significant gains in early 2026.

How Are XRP Spot ETF Inflows Influencing Current Market Trends？

XRP spot exchange-traded funds (ETFs) have recorded inflows for 19 consecutive days, with the latest figure at $16.42 million on December 11, 2025, pushing cumulative inflows to approximately $970.75 million. This sustained demand from institutional investors underscores growing confidence in XRP as a regulated investment vehicle. Data from market trackers indicate that these inflows correlate with increased liquidity, helping stabilize prices during the EMA retest. Broader market strength, including Bitcoin surpassing $92,000 and Ethereum above $3,200, further supports XRPs position. Whale sales of 280 million XRP last week, as reported by market analysts, reflect profit-taking but have not derailed the upward momentum. Additionally, the launch of wrapped XRP on Solana via LayerZero by Hex Trust expands interoperability, enabling DeFi applications and cross-chain transfers that could enhance adoption.

XRP retests the 21-month EMA as analysts track a pattern similar to 2017 while ETF inflows and broader market strength support active trading.

• XRP retests the 21-month EMA in 2025, echoing the setup seen before the 2017 all-time high.
• Spot ETFs show 19 days of steady inflows, lifting demand for regulated exposure to the asset.
• Broader crypto strength and whale sales shape current market flows as wrapped XRP expands use.

XRP trades above the $2 level as traders watch a long-term structure that many compare with the move seen in late 2017. The token tested the 21-month EMA in December 2017 before a move to all-time highs in January 2018. The chart now shows a similar EMA test in December 2025, and the creator asks if the market may repeat that pattern as long as the trendline holds during the next twenty days.

Long-Term Market Pattern and Structural Levels

XRP trades near $2.03 after moving within a narrow band between $1.99 and $2.05. Coingecko data shows steady liquidity with a trading volume of $2.87 billion, while the market cap remains near $122.42 billion. The intraday chart shows a rise toward $2.06 before a move back to $2.02, and the price later settles near the upper part of the range.

Source: Coingecko

The long-term chart follows XRP from 2014 up to 2025 and depicts a rising base with increasing lows. The market forms a wide consolidation range during 2015 and 2016 before breaking above resistance in 2017. The candles move above the 21-month EMA and touch it again during December 2017.

$XRP – Back in Dec 2017, we tested 21m EMA then bounce to All Time Highs (ATHs) in Jan 2018

Dec 2025, we are now testing 21m EMA. Will we copy Jan 2018 & bounce to ATHs in Jan 2026？

IF trendline holds in 20 days, I expect ATH in Q1 2026, then Rug Pull CRASH!

XRP again approaches a horizontal resistance area during 2024 and early 2025. The candles also return to the 21-month EMA in December 2025, and the chart labels this move as a repeat of the 2017 test. According to JayDee, “If the trendline holds in 20 days, I expect ATH in Q1 2026.”

ETF Activity and Broader Market Developments

XRP Spot ETFs record 19 straight days of inflows. The daily inflow reached $16.42 million on December 11th, and total inflows stand near $970.75 million. This trend shows steady interest in regulated products that provide exposure to XRP.

Source: AliCharts(X)

The wider crypto market also shows renewed strength as Bitcoin moves above $92,000 and Ethereum trades above $3,200. Other large assets, including Solana, Cardano, Chainlink, and Dogecoin, also move higher.

According to Ali Charts, whales sold 280 million XRP during the last week, and this event forms part of recent trading flows. Hex Trust also launches wrapped XRP on Solana through LayerZero, and the project aims to expand XRP use across DeFi and cross-chain systems.

Frequently Asked QuestionsWhat Does XRPs 21-Month EMA Retest Mean for Long-Term Investors？

The 21-month EMA retest for XRP indicates a pivotal support level that historically preceded major rallies, as in 2017. Investors should watch for a bounce if the price holds above this EMA, potentially signaling entry points amid ETF-driven demand and market recovery.

Why Are XRP ETF Inflows Continuing for 19 Days Straight？

XRP ETF inflows persist due to rising institutional interest in secure, regulated access to the asset. With daily additions like $16.42 million, these funds reflect broader confidence in XRPs utility in payments and DeFi, aligning with crypto market uptrends for natural voice search responses.

Key Takeaways

• XRP EMA Pattern Similarity: The current 21-month EMA test mirrors 2017, offering potential for historical repetition if support endures.
• ETF Inflow Impact: Nineteen days of inflows totaling $970.75 million bolster XRPs liquidity and institutional appeal.
• Market Expansion: Wrapped XRP on Solana via LayerZero opens new DeFi avenues, enhancing cross-chain utility.