Tesla (TSLA) Earnings Preview: 7% Swing Expected as Wall Street Eyes Robotaxi Updates
Tesla's Q2 2026 earnings are set for July 22 after market close, with options pricing a roughly 7% swing. Wall Street expects revenue near $26.54 billion and EPS of $0.55, but Morgan Stanley's price target hike to $417 underscores that quarterly results are secondary to progress on Robotaxi and Optimus. Shares have fallen over 13% year-to-date, and analyst consensus remains a Hold with an average target around $405–$408. Elon Musk holds nearly 30% of TSLA, while retail investors control a significant portion. The wide spread in price targets—from $130 to $600—reflects deep division over Tesla's AI-driven pivot.
FTX Customers to Receive Up to 120% in New $900 Million Payout
FTX is distributing a fifth round of approximately $900 million to creditors on July 31, bringing total repayments to around $10 billion since 2025. Under its court-approved bankruptcy plan, international customers receive a 9% increase to reach 105% of their claim, US customers get a 5% boost also reaching 105%, other groups hit 103%, and the smallest accounts receive a full 120%. The 9% annual interest rate applies from FTX's November 2022 collapse. While creditors are getting back more than their original claims—a rare outcome in bankruptcy—those values are based on 2022 crypto prices, meaning many missed out on subsequent market gains. Preferred shareholders will receive an additional $18 million. FTX warns that it will never ask recipients to connect a wallet, and a sixth distribution date has not been set.
FILE Price Prediction: Dead Center Won't Hold — $0.72 or $0.82 Decision Is Coming Fast
FILE remains pinned at $0.77 as moving averages converge and momentum flatlines, with the RSI at 46.67 and MACD at zero signaling depletion rather than indecision. While futures open interest surged 6.21% and smart money is 65.2% long, the taker buy/sell ratio of 0.6786 reveals aggressive distribution into those positions, a classic divergence that often precedes a downward sweep. The absence of verified KOL calls leaves the setup clean but directionally biased: the bear case carries 60% probability over seven days, targeting $0.72–$0.70 support, while a bullish scenario requires a confirmed close above $0.79 with expanding spot volume to target $0.82. With an ATR of $0.04, position stops at $0.74 for longs or $0.79 for shorts are essential.
Is Cerebras Systems (CBRS) Stock a Buy Following Its IPO Pullback？
Cerebras Systems reported Q1 2026 revenue of $193.4 million, a 94% year-over-year increase, driven by strong cloud service growth. A landmark multiyear agreement with OpenAI valued above $20 billion includes deployment of 750 megawatts of inference infrastructure, while a partnership with Amazon extends Cerebras inference access to AWS users. Full-year core revenue guidance of $855–$865 million implies roughly 69% expansion. However, profitability remains elusive with adjusted gross margins of 38%–41% trailing Nvidias mid-70% range, and the company expects continued operating losses. Customer concentration poses additional risk. Analysts hold a Moderate Buy consensus with a mean price target of $299.30, though near-term execution challenges persist.
Bitcoin Reclaims $64K After Rebounding From $62,400 Dip
Bitcoin reclaimed $64,000 after a sharp intraday dip to $62,400, showing resilience against US-Iran tensions that pushed oil above $82 a barrel and record US margin debt of $1.5 trillion, which near dot-com bubble levels underscores equity fragility. The recovery suggested dip-buying demand remains intact, with institutional positioning still risk-on as wrapped Bitcoin flows showed buyers returning within the same session. Technical analysis rates immediate support at $63,756 at 79/100, with resistance at $64,192 rated 66/100. Derivatives data shows a 0.0021% funding rate and 1.70 long/short ratio. With RSI at 52.26 and the Fear & Greed Index at 27 (Fear), a hold above $63,756 opens a path toward $70,325, while a break below $61,056 would invalidate the bullish thesis.
INJ Price Prediction: Dead Zone or Launch Pad — $5.24 or $4.48 Decides Everything
INJ trades at $4.90 in a tight compression zone, with MACD and RSI both neutral and the 50 SMA at $5.17 capping upside. Despite the 3.81% daily decline, smart money on Binance leans 58.9% long, and open interest rose 2.77% on the dip—a classic accumulation pattern. A daily close above $5.07 with volume targets $5.24 and then the $5.34 analyst level. The bearish line is $4.77; losing that support could accelerate losses to $4.48 and eventually the 200 SMA at $4.14. The highest-probability scenario is 24–48 more hours of sideways grind between $4.77 and $5.07, followed by an upside breakout driven by whale positioning.
Japanese Yen: Verbal intervention fails to move JPY against US Dollar – Scotiabank
Scotiabanks Shaun Osborne and Eric Theoret report that USD/JPY remains little changed despite Finance Minister Katayama issuing one of the strongest verbal interventions in recent weeks, warning of “decisive action at any time.” Markets are unimpressed, reflecting the frequency of such rhetoric and the ineffectiveness of actual yen buying. However, they note that recent data shows a significant sentiment shift toward the Japanese yen among local retail FX traders, who may be more attuned to intervention risks.
Augur returns with decentralized layer for disputed prediction markets
Augur has relaunched with the Lituus settlement layer, a decentralized system for resolving disputed prediction-market outcomes without reliance on companies, committees, or governance councils, as detailed in a newly released whitepaper shared with crypto.news. The Lituus Foundation is also running a public two-month Moon Fork token migration test tied to a NASA Artemis II market, requiring REP holders to choose a protocol version. This renewed focus comes as Wall Street banks tighten employee policies on event contracts to address insider-trading concerns, though Augurs proposal addresses settlement after an event occurs rather than trading restrictions. A launch date for general use has not been provided.
FTX schedules another $900M creditor payout, taking announced distributions past $9.7B
FTX will distribute approximately $900 million to eligible creditors on July 31, marking the fifth payout under its Chapter 11 reorganization and bringing announced distributions across rounds two through five to at least $9.7 billion. The latest payment will raise cumulative distributions for Dotcom and U.S. customer claims to 105%, while Convenience Claims will reach 120%. A concurrent $18 million distribution to preferred equity holders will bring that funds total to $95 million. Eligible creditors must have completed pre-distribution steps by the June 16 record date to receive funds through their selected provider. FTX plans to file additional class-level details shortly after the July 31 payment.
$1.38 Billion in One Month: How Venezuela's Binance P2P Market Now Rivals Its Oil Exports
Venezuelan Binance P2P volumes reached $1.389 billion between June 11 and July 13, averaging $44 million daily, according to Ecoanalitica. This USDT volume equaled 88% of central bank foreign currency sales and 75% of monthly oil exports, demonstrating that crypto has become a primary channel for currency exchange due to traditional market limitations exacerbated by US sanctions. However, after sanctions eased following Nicolás Maduros capture, the formal forex market is recovering as the central bank offers more dollars. Economist Alejandro Grisanti expects Binance volumes to gradually decline, not because demand falls, but because more operations will shift to traditional banking as market segmentation reduces.
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